Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $86 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock, sell OTM call for income. Caps upside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $79.91 ยท ฮ 1.00
SHORT CALL ยท $86 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.9 ยท ฮ 0.4
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Covered Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $86 by Jun 19: the covered call returns +$999 (13.1%) on $7,601 risked, vs +$609 (7.6%) for 100 shares on $7,991. Options give 1.7ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $86. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $86 by Jun 19
+$999
+13.1% on $7,601 risked
Max Profit
+$999
If the stock โฅ $86 at expiry
Max Loss
โ$7,601
If stock โ $0 (minus premium received)
Break-even
$76.01
-4.88% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
69%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
59.86 / 4.71 / -13.24
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | -$1,247 | -$1,221 | -$1,209 | -$1,208 |
| $68 (-15%) | -$889 | -$845 | -$814 | -$809 |
| $72 (-10%) | -$557 | -$490 | -$430 | -$409 |
| $76 (-5%) | -$260 | -$168 | -$71 | -$10 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$99 | +$5 | +$124 | +$230 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$111 | +$244 | +$390 |
| $82 (+2%) | +$92 | +$210 | +$354 | +$550 |
| $84 (+5%) | +$219 | +$343 | +$500 | +$790 |
| $86 (+8%) โ target | +$317 | +$445 | +$607 | +$999 |
| $88 (+10%) | +$397 | +$526 | +$688 | +$999 |
| $92 (+15%) | +$539 | +$664 | +$815 | +$999 |
| $96 (+20%) | +$649 | +$763 | +$892 | +$999 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.