Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $76 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy a longer-dated put, sell a shorter-dated OTM put. Profits from time decay + a moderate drop.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $80 ยท Jul '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.72 ยท ฮ -0.44
SHORT PUT ยท $76 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.86 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Diagonal Put Spread
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $76 by Jun 19: the diagonal put spread returns +$309 (108.2%) on $286 risked, vs $-391 (-4.9%) for 100 shares on $7,991. Options give 22.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $76. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $76 by Jun 19
+$309
+108.2% on $286 risked
Max Profit
+$299
If the stock price is favorable
Max Loss
โ$280
Worst-case within chart range
Break-even
$82.14
+2.8% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
80%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-9.32 / 0.54 / 3.47
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | +$92 | +$106 | +$116 | +$99 |
| $68 (-15%) | +$82 | +$102 | +$128 | +$127 |
| $72 (-10%) | +$63 | +$86 | +$124 | +$190 |
| $76 (-5%) โ target | +$34 | +$55 | +$94 | +$309 |
| $78 (-2%) | +$14 | +$32 | +$66 | +$174 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | +$15 | +$42 | +$94 |
| $82 (+2%) | -$15 | -$4 | +$15 | +$24 |
| $84 (+5%) | -$39 | -$33 | -$26 | -$62 |
| $88 (+10%) | -$79 | -$82 | -$95 | -$162 |
| $92 (+15%) | -$116 | -$128 | -$154 | -$222 |
| $96 (+20%) | -$151 | -$168 | -$200 | -$255 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.