Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $89 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $80 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.69 ยท ฮ 0.49
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $89 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$331 (58.2%) on $569 risked, vs +$909 (11.4%) for 100 shares on $7,991. Options give 5.1ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $89. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $89 by Jun 19
+$331
+58.2% on $569 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$569
Premium paid
Break-even
$85.69
+7.23% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
49.5 / -4.93 / 13.52
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | -$484 | -$529 | -$562 | -$569 |
| $68 (-15%) | -$408 | -$478 | -$542 | -$569 |
| $72 (-10%) | -$295 | -$387 | -$490 | -$569 |
| $76 (-5%) | -$139 | -$249 | -$384 | -$569 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$25 | -$141 | -$288 | -$569 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | +$60 | -$58 | -$209 | -$569 |
| $82 (+2%) | +$152 | +$33 | -$119 | -$418 |
| $84 (+5%) | +$302 | +$183 | +$37 | -$178 |
| $88 (+10%) | +$579 | +$469 | +$341 | +$221 |
| $89 (+11%) โ target | +$662 | +$554 | +$433 | +$331 |
| $92 (+15%) | +$889 | +$791 | +$689 | +$621 |
| $96 (+20%) | +$1,223 | +$1,140 | +$1,062 | +$1,020 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.