Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $70 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bearish. Max profit if underlying crashes, capped loss.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG PUT ยท $80 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.45 ยท ฮ -0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $70 by Jun 19: the long put returns +$255 (34.2%) on $745 risked, vs $-991 (-12.4%) for 100 shares on $7,991. Options give 2.8ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $70. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $70 by Jun 19
+$255
+34.2% on $745 risked
Max Profit
+$7,255
If stock โ $0
Max Loss
โ$745
Premium paid
Break-even
$72.55
-9.21% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
51%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-51.24 / -4.09 / 13.51
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | +$881 | +$857 | +$846 | +$862 |
| $68 (-15%) | +$558 | +$510 | +$467 | +$463 |
| $70 (-12%) โ target | +$404 | +$344 | +$281 | +$255 |
| $72 (-10%) | +$271 | +$201 | +$119 | +$63 |
| $76 (-5%) | +$28 | -$60 | -$174 | -$336 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$98 | -$192 | -$317 | -$576 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | -$173 | -$269 | -$399 | -$736 |
| $82 (+2%) | -$241 | -$339 | -$468 | -$745 |
| $84 (+5%) | -$331 | -$428 | -$553 | -$745 |
| $88 (+10%) | -$453 | -$541 | -$647 | -$745 |
| $92 (+15%) | -$543 | -$619 | -$700 | -$745 |
| $96 (+20%) | -$608 | -$670 | -$725 | -$745 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.