Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $89 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Buy shares and hold. Unlimited upside, full downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $79.91 ยท ฮ 1.00
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Stock
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $89 by Jun 19: the long stock returns +$909 (11.4%) on $7,991 risked, vs $ (None%) for 100 shares on $.
๐ Expiry
Stock-only position โ no expiry. Target date is Jun 19.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $89 by Jun 19
+$909
+11.4% on $7,991 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$7,991
If stock โ $0
Break-even
$79.91
+0.0% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
55%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
100.0 / 0.0 / 0.0
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 13 | Jun 12 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | -$1,598 | -$1,598 | -$1,598 |
| $68 (-15%) | -$1,199 | -$1,199 | -$1,199 |
| $72 (-10%) | -$799 | -$799 | -$799 |
| $76 (-5%) | -$400 | -$400 | -$400 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$160 | -$160 | -$160 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | +$0 | +$0 |
| $82 (+2%) | +$160 | +$160 | +$160 |
| $84 (+5%) | +$400 | +$400 | +$400 |
| $88 (+10%) | +$799 | +$799 | +$799 |
| $89 (+11%) โ target | +$909 | +$909 | +$909 |
| $92 (+15%) | +$1,199 | +$1,199 | +$1,199 |
| $96 (+20%) | +$1,598 | +$1,598 | +$1,598 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.