Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $88 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Own stock + buy put as insurance against downside.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG 100 SHARES
@ $79.91 ยท ฮ 1.00
LONG PUT ยท $76 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $3.86 ยท ฮ -0.34
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Protective Put
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $88 by Jun 19: the protective put returns +$423 (5.0%) on $8,377 risked, vs +$809 (10.1%) for 100 shares on $7,991. Options give 0.5ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $88. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $88 by Jun 19
+$423
+5.0% on $8,377 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside (minus put cost)
Max Loss
โ$777
Put floors you at $76
Break-even
$83.77
+4.83% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
59%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
65.66 / -3.77 / 12.59
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | -$700 | -$742 | -$778 | -$777 |
| $68 (-15%) | -$593 | -$657 | -$731 | -$777 |
| $72 (-10%) | -$440 | -$523 | -$629 | -$777 |
| $76 (-5%) | -$242 | -$334 | -$457 | -$777 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$102 | -$194 | -$317 | -$546 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | +$0 | -$91 | -$209 | -$386 |
| $82 (+2%) | +$108 | +$19 | -$92 | -$226 |
| $84 (+5%) | +$281 | +$198 | +$100 | +$14 |
| $88 (+10%) โ target | +$602 | +$532 | +$460 | +$423 |
| $92 (+15%) | +$933 | +$877 | +$828 | +$813 |
| $96 (+20%) | +$1,290 | +$1,248 | +$1,218 | +$1,212 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.