Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.91
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $92 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bet on big move in either direction. Two premiums paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $80 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $5.69 ยท ฮ 0.49
LONG PUT ยท $80 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $7.45 ยท ฮ -0.51
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Straddle
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $92 by Jun 19: the long straddle returns $-114 (-8.7%) on $1,314 risked, vs +$1,209 (15.1%) for 100 shares on $7,991. Options give 0.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $92. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $92 by Jun 19
$-114
-8.7% on $1,314 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited on a big move
Max Loss
โ$1,314
Both premiums paid
Break-even
$66.86
-16.33% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
42%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
-1.74 / -9.02 / 27.03
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $64 (-20%) | +$397 | +$328 | +$284 | +$293 |
| $68 (-15%) | +$149 | +$33 | -$75 | -$106 |
| $72 (-10%) | -$24 | -$186 | -$370 | -$506 |
| $76 (-5%) | -$112 | -$309 | -$558 | -$905 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$122 | -$333 | -$605 | -$1,145 |
| $80 (0%) โ spot | -$112 | -$328 | -$608 | -$1,305 |
| $82 (+2%) | -$89 | -$306 | -$587 | -$1,163 |
| $84 (+5%) | -$30 | -$244 | -$516 | -$923 |
| $88 (+10%) | +$127 | -$72 | -$306 | -$524 |
| $92 (+15%) โ target | +$352 | +$179 | -$2 | -$114 |
| $96 (+20%) | +$615 | +$470 | +$337 | +$275 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.