Target Price Playground
ZM
$79.24
๐ข
ZM IV: 41.3% โ LOW
(-34.6% vs 30d avg of 63.0%)
Options are cheap vs 30d avg โ good time to BUY options (long calls/puts, debit spreads).
Forward Projection
If price hits $89 by Jun 19
Historical Backtest
Coming soon
Signal Backtest
Coming soon
๐ Strategy
Long Stock
Long Call
Long Put
Bull Call Spread
Bear Put Spread
Covered Call
Protective Put
Cash-Secured Put
Diagonal Put Spread
Long Straddle
Bullish. Unlimited upside, capped loss = premium paid.
๐ฏ Target
67d from today
โ๏ธ Legs
LONG CALL ยท $79 ยท Jun '26
Qty 1 ยท Premium $6.4 ยท ฮ 0.56
P&L at Expiry
Stock (100 sh)
Long Call
Now
Target
๐ก Stock vs Options at Target
If ZM hits $89 by Jun 19: the long call returns +$360 (56.3%) on $640 risked, vs +$976 (12.3%) for 100 shares on $7,924. Options give 4.6ร capital efficiency.
๐ Expiry
Options expire Jun 19, 2026 (67 days out). P&L shown is the value at expiry if ZM is at $89. Use the 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d pills to compare different expiries.
๐ Projected Return
P&L if ZM hits $89 by Jun 19
+$360
+56.3% on $640 risked
Max Profit
Unlimited
Unlimited upside
Max Loss
โ$640
Premium paid
Break-even
$85.40
+7.77% from spot
Prob. of Target Hit
52%
IV-implied, 67d (rough)
Net ฮ / ฮ / V
56.13 / -4.88 / 13.38
per spread, per $1 move / day / vol pt
๐ Notes for each mode (not shown on real page)
Forward Projection
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Reprices legs at (target_price, target_date) via Black-Scholes. Works on existing BS service. Simplest mode โ ship first.
Historical Backtest
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Uses our historical options chains to replay this exact strategy over past expirations. Needs: date picker, "rolling every N days", cumulative P&L chart.
Signal Backtest
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
"Run this strategy on every BUY-rated stock with score โฅ 80 for last 90d." Reuses score_backtest pipeline + strategy overlay.
Solve for Return
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
Inverse: user says "+50% in 90d", system solves for required price move, shows IV-implied probability. Pure math.
๐ P&L Scenarios โ what happens at different prices and dates
| ZM Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $63 (-20%) | -$552 | -$598 | -$633 | -$640 |
| $67 (-15%) | -$475 | -$545 | -$611 | -$640 |
| $71 (-10%) | -$359 | -$452 | -$556 | -$640 |
| $75 (-5%) | -$201 | -$311 | -$446 | -$640 |
| $78 (-2%) | -$86 | -$201 | -$347 | -$640 |
| $79 (0%) โ spot | -$0 | -$118 | -$267 | -$616 |
| $81 (+2%) | +$92 | -$26 | -$176 | -$458 |
| $83 (+5%) | +$242 | +$126 | -$18 | -$220 |
| $87 (+10%) | +$520 | +$413 | +$289 | +$176 |
| $89 (+12%) โ target | +$661 | +$558 | +$446 | +$360 |
| $91 (+15%) | +$830 | +$735 | +$637 | +$573 |
| $95 (+20%) | +$1,164 | +$1,083 | +$1,009 | +$969 |
Uses ZM's current IV for repricing. P&L includes all legs (stock + options). Qty: 1x.