ADSK Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 30/100

ADSK ยท $218.45 ยท Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 13
This strategy is NOT recommended for ADSK right now
Score 30/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on ADSK at this time. RSI at 35 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls. IV -47% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income. MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk). Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.

Quick Take

ADSK is trading at $218.45 with RSI at 35 (oversold territory). Options IV is at 40% โ€” 47% below its 30-day average of 76%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
35
IV Today
40.1%
IV vs 30d Avg
-47%
MACD
bearish
ADX
23
MFI
43

The Setup

ADSK Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $218.45
SHORT CALL
$235 Jun '26 ยท $10.03/sh
Net Cost
$20,842
Max Profit
+$2,658
Break-even
$208.42
Projected P&L at Target
+$2,658 (12.8%)
P&L at Expiry Now $218 $153 $218 $284

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different ADSK prices by expiry:

ADSK Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$175 (-20%) -$3,453 -$3,395 -$3,368 -$3,366
$186 (-15%) -$2,463 -$2,355 -$2,285 -$2,274
$197 (-10%) -$1,544 -$1,374 -$1,229 -$1,182
$208 (-5%) -$718 -$482 -$236 -$89
$214 (-2%) -$274 -$3 +$305 +$566
$218 (0%) โ† now +$0 +$291 +$636 +$1,003
$223 (+2%) +$255 +$563 +$940 +$1,440
$229 (+5%) +$603 +$929 +$1,341 +$2,095
$235 (+8%) โ† target +$869 +$1,204 +$1,630 +$2,658
$240 (+10%) +$1,092 +$1,429 +$1,856 +$2,658
$251 (+15%) +$1,476 +$1,801 +$2,194 +$2,658
$262 (+20%) +$1,768 +$2,065 +$2,394 +$2,658

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 35 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls
  • IV -47% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk)
  • ADX at 23 โ€” moderate trend
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

The main risk is missing upside if ADSK rallies sharply. The premium received ($X per share) provides a buffer, but gains above the strike are forfeited.
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