BLKB Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 35/100

BLKB ยท $34.27 ยท Analysis generated Nov 26, 2025 ยท Data as of market close Nov 26 ยท Market closed โ€” data may be from last trading day
This strategy is NOT recommended for BLKB right now
Score 35/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on BLKB at this time. RSI at 40 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls. IV -38% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income. MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk). Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.

Quick Take

BLKB is trading at $34.27 with RSI at 40 (oversold territory). Options IV is at 34% โ€” 38% below its 30-day average of 55%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
40
IV Today
33.8%
IV vs 30d Avg
-38%
MACD
bearish
ADX
19
MFI
50

The Setup

BLKB Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $34.27
SHORT CALL
$37 Jun '26 ยท $5.11/sh
Net Cost
$2,916
Max Profit
+$784
Break-even
$29.16
Projected P&L at Target
+$784 (26.9%)
P&L at Expiry Now $34 $24 $34 $45

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different BLKB prices by expiry:

BLKB Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$27 (-20%) -$389 -$311 -$227 -$174
$29 (-15%) -$279 -$190 -$88 -$3
$31 (-10%) -$178 -$79 +$40 +$168
$33 (-5%) -$85 +$22 +$156 +$340
$34 (-2%) -$34 +$77 +$218 +$442
$34 (0%) โ† now -$0 +$113 +$258 +$511
$35 (+2%) +$32 +$147 +$296 +$580
$36 (+5%) +$77 +$195 +$348 +$682
$37 (+8%) โ† target +$119 +$239 +$395 +$784
$38 (+10%) +$147 +$268 +$425 +$784
$39 (+15%) +$210 +$333 +$491 +$784
$41 (+20%) +$267 +$390 +$545 +$784

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 40 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls
  • IV -38% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk)
  • ADX at 19 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

The main risk is missing upside if BLKB rallies sharply. The premium received ($X per share) provides a buffer, but gains above the strike are forfeited.
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