Why CAT Is an Excellent Covered Call Candidate Right Now Strong ยท 85/100

CAT ยท $790.66 ยท Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 13

Quick Take

CAT is trading at $790.66 with RSI at 66 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 37% โ€” 45% below its 30-day average of 68%. While the stock is extended, IV is below average which means premiums aren't as rich. The trade still works but yields less income than usual.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
66
IV Today
37.2%
IV vs 30d Avg
-45%
MACD
bullish
ADX
16
MFI
55

The Setup

CAT Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $790.66
SHORT CALL
$850 Jun '26 ยท $31.0/sh
Net Cost
$75,966
Max Profit
+$9,034
Break-even
$759.66
Projected P&L at Target
+$9,034 (11.9%)
P&L at Expiry Now $791 $553 $791 $1028

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different CAT prices by expiry:

CAT Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$633 (-20%) -$12,912 -$12,769 -$12,715 -$12,713
$672 (-15%) -$9,241 -$8,948 -$8,780 -$8,760
$712 (-10%) -$5,815 -$5,311 -$4,912 -$4,807
$751 (-5%) -$2,727 -$1,987 -$1,243 -$853
$775 (-2%) -$1,069 -$197 +$773 +$1,519
$791 (0%) โ† now -$52 +$896 +$2,007 +$3,100
$806 (+2%) +$892 +$1,905 +$3,137 +$4,681
$830 (+5%) +$2,170 +$3,253 +$4,615 +$7,053
$850 (+8%) โ† target +$3,112 +$4,226 +$5,640 +$9,034
$870 (+10%) +$3,940 +$5,061 +$6,473 +$9,034
$909 (+15%) +$5,294 +$6,363 +$7,635 +$9,034
$949 (+20%) +$6,289 +$7,244 +$8,273 +$9,034

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 66 โ€” extended, ideal for selling calls
  • IV -45% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 16 โ€” range-bound, perfect for selling calls
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

CAT has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if CAT approaches the strike before expiry.
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