MANH Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 35/100

MANH ยท $120.88 ยท Analysis generated Nov 26, 2025 ยท Data as of market close Nov 26 ยท Market closed โ€” data may be from last trading day
This strategy is NOT recommended for MANH right now
Score 35/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on MANH at this time. IV -25% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income. ADX at 40 โ€” strong trend, stock may run past strike. TTM Squeeze ON โ€” breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies. Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.

Quick Take

MANH is trading at $120.88 with RSI at 44 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 40% โ€” 25% below its 30-day average of 54%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
44
IV Today
40.5%
IV vs 30d Avg
-25%
MACD
bullish
ADX
40
MFI
54

The Setup

MANH Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $120.88
SHORT CALL
$130 Jun '26 ยท $7.52/sh
Net Cost
$11,336
Max Profit
+$1,664
Break-even
$113.36
Projected P&L at Target
+$1,664 (14.7%)
P&L at Expiry Now $121 $85 $121 $157

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different MANH prices by expiry:

MANH Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$97 (-20%) -$1,781 -$1,714 -$1,672 -$1,666
$103 (-15%) -$1,267 -$1,166 -$1,084 -$1,061
$109 (-10%) -$795 -$657 -$521 -$457
$115 (-5%) -$371 -$198 -$4 +$148
$118 (-2%) -$142 +$49 +$275 +$510
$121 (0%) โ† now +$0 +$201 +$446 +$752
$123 (+2%) +$134 +$343 +$604 +$994
$127 (+5%) +$319 +$537 +$815 +$1,356
$130 (+8%) โ† target +$461 +$684 +$970 +$1,664
$133 (+10%) +$586 +$811 +$1,098 +$1,664
$139 (+15%) +$805 +$1,027 +$1,299 +$1,664
$145 (+20%) +$983 +$1,192 +$1,434 +$1,664

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 44
  • IV -25% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 40 โ€” strong trend, stock may run past strike
  • TTM Squeeze ON โ€” breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies

Key Risks

MANH has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if MANH approaches the strike before expiry.
ADX at 40 indicates a moderately strong trend. In trending markets, covered calls cap your upside too early. Use a higher strike to leave more room.
TTM Squeeze is ON โ€” a volatility breakout may be imminent. If the breakout is to the upside, your short call will be tested quickly.
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