MCD Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 30/100

MCD ยท $305.68 ยท Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 13
This strategy is NOT recommended for MCD right now
Score 30/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on MCD at this time. RSI at 35 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls. IV -40% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income. MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk). Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.

Quick Take

MCD is trading at $305.68 with RSI at 35 (oversold territory). Options IV is at 26% โ€” 40% below its 30-day average of 43%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
35
IV Today
25.6%
IV vs 30d Avg
-41%
MACD
bearish
ADX
25
MFI
43

The Setup

MCD Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $305.68
SHORT CALL
$330 Jun '26 ยท $2.41/sh
Net Cost
$30,327
Max Profit
+$2,673
Break-even
$303.27
Projected P&L at Target
+$2,673 (8.8%)
P&L at Expiry Now $306 $214 $306 $397

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different MCD prices by expiry:

MCD Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$245 (-20%) -$5,874 -$5,873 -$5,873 -$5,873
$260 (-15%) -$4,352 -$4,345 -$4,344 -$4,344
$275 (-10%) -$2,857 -$2,827 -$2,816 -$2,816
$290 (-5%) -$1,441 -$1,351 -$1,295 -$1,287
$300 (-2%) -$664 -$523 -$406 -$370
$306 (0%) โ† now -$189 -$11 +$160 +$241
$312 (+2%) +$245 +$458 +$687 +$852
$321 (+5%) +$813 +$1,066 +$1,371 +$1,769
$330 (+8%) โ† target +$1,268 +$1,541 +$1,882 +$2,673
$336 (+10%) +$1,523 +$1,797 +$2,134 +$2,673
$352 (+15%) +$1,965 +$2,205 +$2,464 +$2,673
$367 (+20%) +$2,207 +$2,392 +$2,559 +$2,673

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 35 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls
  • IV -40% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk)
  • ADX at 25 โ€” moderate trend
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

The main risk is missing upside if MCD rallies sharply. The premium received ($X per share) provides a buffer, but gains above the strike are forfeited.
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