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MSI Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak · 30/100
MSI · $433.69 ·
Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ·
Data as of market close Apr 13
This strategy is NOT recommended for MSI right now
Score 30/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on MSI at this time.
IV -50% vs avg — premiums below average, less income. MACD bearish — stock may keep falling (risk). ADX at 31 — strong trend, stock may run past strike.
Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.
Quick Take
MSI is trading at $433.69 with RSI at 44 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 24% — 50% below its 30-day average of 48%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.
Technical Signals
RSI (14)
44
IV Today
24.0%
IV vs 30d Avg
-50%
MACD
bearish
ADX
31
MFI
50
The Setup
MSI Covered Call
LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $433.69
SHORT CALL
$470 Jun '26 · $7.66/sh
Net Cost
$42,603
Max Profit
+$4,397
Break-even
$426.03
Projected P&L at Target
+$4,397
(10.3%)
P&L at Expiry
P&L Scenarios
What happens at different MSI prices by expiry:
| MSI Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $347 (-20%) | -$7,913 | -$7,908 | -$7,908 | -$7,908 |
| $369 (-15%) | -$5,767 | -$5,744 | -$5,739 | -$5,739 |
| $390 (-10%) | -$3,678 | -$3,605 | -$3,573 | -$3,571 |
| $412 (-5%) | -$1,722 | -$1,549 | -$1,427 | -$1,402 |
| $425 (-2%) | -$654 | -$406 | -$183 | -$101 |
| $434 (0%) ← now | -$0 | +$300 | +$602 | +$766 |
| $442 (+2%) | +$601 | +$949 | +$1,333 | +$1,633 |
| $455 (+5%) | +$1,398 | +$1,802 | +$2,291 | +$2,934 |
| $470 (+8%) ← target | +$2,137 | +$2,572 | +$3,118 | +$4,397 |
| $477 (+10%) | +$2,435 | +$2,872 | +$3,418 | +$4,397 |
| $499 (+15%) | +$3,131 | +$3,531 | +$3,984 | +$4,397 |
| $520 (+20%) | +$3,556 | +$3,880 | +$4,193 | +$4,397 |
Why This Strategy, Why Now
- RSI at 44
- IV -50% vs avg — premiums below average, less income
- MACD bearish — stock may keep falling (risk)
- ADX at 31 — strong trend, stock may run past strike
- No squeeze — no imminent breakout
Key Risks
ADX at 31 indicates a moderately strong trend. In trending markets, covered calls cap your upside too early. Use a higher strike to leave more room.