PEP Covered Call Strategy: Is Now a Good Time to Sell Calls? Moderate ยท 65/100

PepsiCo Inc (Consumer Defensive) ยท $157.06 ยท Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 13

Quick Take

PEP is trading at $157.06 with RSI at 49 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 26% โ€” 43% below its 30-day average of 45%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
49
IV Today
25.7%
IV vs 30d Avg
-43%
MACD
bullish
ADX
21
MFI
45

The Setup

PEP Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $157.06
SHORT CALL
$170 Jun '26 ยท $1.9/sh
Net Cost
$15,516
Max Profit
+$1,484
Break-even
$155.16
Projected P&L at Target
+$1,484 (9.6%)
P&L at Expiry Now $157 $110 $157 $204

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different PEP prices by expiry:

PEP Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$126 (-20%) -$2,953 -$2,951 -$2,951 -$2,951
$134 (-15%) -$2,176 -$2,168 -$2,166 -$2,166
$141 (-10%) -$1,421 -$1,394 -$1,382 -$1,381
$149 (-5%) -$714 -$650 -$605 -$595
$154 (-2%) -$329 -$238 -$155 -$124
$157 (0%) โ† now -$94 +$16 +$128 +$190
$160 (+2%) +$123 +$250 +$391 +$504
$165 (+5%) +$409 +$556 +$735 +$975
$170 (+8%) โ† target +$665 +$823 +$1,021 +$1,484
$173 (+10%) +$781 +$940 +$1,137 +$1,484
$181 (+15%) +$1,031 +$1,175 +$1,338 +$1,484
$188 (+20%) +$1,182 +$1,299 +$1,411 +$1,484

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 49
  • IV -43% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 21 โ€” moderate trend
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

PEP has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if PEP approaches the strike before expiry.
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