PG Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 30/100

PG ยท $145.16 ยท Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 13
This strategy is NOT recommended for PG right now
Score 30/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on PG at this time. RSI at 34 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls. IV -44% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income. MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk). Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.

Quick Take

PG is trading at $145.16 with RSI at 34 (oversold territory). Options IV is at 24% โ€” 44% below its 30-day average of 42%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
34
IV Today
23.5%
IV vs 30d Avg
-44%
MACD
bearish
ADX
30
MFI
15

The Setup

PG Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $145.16
SHORT CALL
$155 Jun '26 ยท $1.94/sh
Net Cost
$14,322
Max Profit
+$1,178
Break-even
$143.22
Projected P&L at Target
+$1,178 (8.2%)
P&L at Expiry Now $145 $102 $145 $189

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different PG prices by expiry:

PG Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$116 (-20%) -$2,710 -$2,709 -$2,709 -$2,709
$123 (-15%) -$1,989 -$1,984 -$1,983 -$1,983
$131 (-10%) -$1,288 -$1,267 -$1,258 -$1,258
$138 (-5%) -$632 -$579 -$540 -$532
$142 (-2%) -$279 -$199 -$126 -$96
$145 (0%) โ† now -$66 +$31 +$132 +$194
$148 (+2%) +$127 +$239 +$366 +$484
$152 (+5%) +$377 +$504 +$661 +$920
$155 (+7%) โ† target +$501 +$632 +$796 +$1,178
$160 (+10%) +$683 +$813 +$970 +$1,178
$167 (+15%) +$869 +$979 +$1,094 +$1,178
$174 (+20%) +$970 +$1,053 +$1,127 +$1,178

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 34 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls
  • IV -44% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk)
  • ADX at 30 โ€” moderate trend
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

ADX at 30 indicates a moderately strong trend. In trending markets, covered calls cap your upside too early. Use a higher strike to leave more room.
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