QBTS Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 35/100

QBTS ยท $14.25 ยท Analysis generated Apr 10, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 10 ยท Market closed โ€” data may be from last trading day
This strategy is NOT recommended for QBTS right now
Score 35/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on QBTS at this time. RSI at 39 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls. IV -34% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income. ADX at 30 โ€” strong trend, stock may run past strike. Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.

Quick Take

QBTS is trading at $14.25 with RSI at 39 (oversold territory). Options IV is at 76% โ€” 34% below its 30-day average of 115%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
39
IV Today
75.6%
IV vs 30d Avg
-34%
MACD
bullish
ADX
30
MFI
51

The Setup

QBTS Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $14.25
SHORT CALL
$16 Jun '26 ยท $1.76/sh
Net Cost
$1,249
Max Profit
+$301
Break-even
$12.49
Projected P&L at Target
+$301 (24.1%)
P&L at Expiry Now $14 $10 $14 $19

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different QBTS prices by expiry:

QBTS Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$11 (-20%) -$173 -$147 -$122 -$109
$12 (-15%) -$124 -$94 -$60 -$38
$13 (-10%) -$79 -$44 -$3 +$34
$14 (-5%) -$37 +$1 +$48 +$105
$14 (-2%) -$15 +$25 +$76 +$147
$14 (0%) โ† now +$0 +$41 +$93 +$176
$15 (+2%) +$14 +$56 +$110 +$205
$15 (+5%) +$34 +$77 +$133 +$247
$16 (+9%) โ† target +$57 +$101 +$159 +$301
$16 (+10%) +$65 +$109 +$167 +$301
$16 (+15%) +$92 +$137 +$194 +$301
$17 (+20%) +$116 +$161 +$217 +$301

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 39 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls
  • IV -34% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 30 โ€” strong trend, stock may run past strike
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

QBTS has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if QBTS approaches the strike before expiry.
ADX at 30 indicates a moderately strong trend. In trending markets, covered calls cap your upside too early. Use a higher strike to leave more room.
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