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SEMR Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak · 23/100
SEMR · $11.94 ·
Analysis generated Apr 10, 2026 ·
Data as of market close Apr 10
· Market closed — data may be from last trading day
This strategy is NOT recommended for SEMR right now
Score 23/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on SEMR at this time.
IV -20% vs avg — premiums below average, less income. MACD bearish — stock may keep falling (risk). ADX at 40 — strong trend, stock may run past strike. TTM Squeeze ON — breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies.
Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.
Quick Take
SEMR is trading at $11.94 with RSI at 56 (neutral territory). Options IV is at 63% — 20% below its 30-day average of 80%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.
Technical Signals
RSI (14)
56
IV Today
63.4%
IV vs 30d Avg
-20%
MACD
bearish
ADX
40
MFI
56
The Setup
SEMR Covered Call
LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $11.94
SHORT CALL
$13 Jun '26 · $0.02/sh
Net Cost
$1,192
Max Profit
+$108
Break-even
$11.92
Projected P&L at Target
+$108
(9.0%)
P&L at Expiry
P&L Scenarios
What happens at different SEMR prices by expiry:
| SEMR Price | Today | May 5 | May 27 | Jun 19 (exp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $10 (-20%) | -$237 | -$237 | -$237 | -$237 |
| $10 (-15%) | -$177 | -$177 | -$177 | -$177 |
| $11 (-10%) | -$117 | -$117 | -$117 | -$117 |
| $11 (-5%) | -$58 | -$58 | -$58 | -$58 |
| $12 (-2%) | -$23 | -$22 | -$22 | -$22 |
| $12 (0%) ← now | +$0 | +$2 | +$2 | +$2 |
| $12 (+2%) | +$22 | +$24 | +$26 | +$26 |
| $13 (+5%) | +$51 | +$55 | +$60 | +$62 |
| $13 (+9%) ← target | +$77 | +$83 | +$91 | +$108 |
| $13 (+10%) | +$82 | +$88 | +$96 | +$108 |
| $14 (+15%) | +$94 | +$99 | +$104 | +$108 |
| $14 (+20%) | +$97 | +$101 | +$104 | +$108 |
Why This Strategy, Why Now
- RSI at 56 — neutral-bullish
- IV -20% vs avg — premiums below average, less income
- MACD bearish — stock may keep falling (risk)
- ADX at 40 — strong trend, stock may run past strike
- TTM Squeeze ON — breakout imminent, risky for capped strategies
Key Risks
ADX at 40 indicates a moderately strong trend. In trending markets, covered calls cap your upside too early. Use a higher strike to leave more room.
TTM Squeeze is ON — a volatility breakout may be imminent. If the breakout is to the upside, your short call will be tested quickly.