SPSC Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 35/100

SPSC ยท $51.45 ยท Analysis generated Nov 26, 2025 ยท Data as of market close Nov 26 ยท Market closed โ€” data may be from last trading day
This strategy is NOT recommended for SPSC right now
Score 35/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on SPSC at this time. RSI at 36 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls. IV -34% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income. ADX at 43 โ€” strong trend, stock may run past strike. Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.

Quick Take

SPSC is trading at $51.45 with RSI at 36 (oversold territory). Options IV is at 44% โ€” 34% below its 30-day average of 67%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
36
IV Today
44.3%
IV vs 30d Avg
-34%
MACD
bullish
ADX
43
MFI
61

The Setup

SPSC Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $51.45
SHORT CALL
$56 Jun '26 ยท $1.17/sh
Net Cost
$5,028
Max Profit
+$572
Break-even
$50.28
Projected P&L at Target
+$572 (11.4%)
P&L at Expiry Now $51 $36 $51 $67

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different SPSC prices by expiry:

SPSC Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$41 (-20%) -$914 -$912 -$912 -$912
$44 (-15%) -$663 -$657 -$655 -$655
$46 (-10%) -$420 -$406 -$398 -$397
$49 (-5%) -$196 -$168 -$146 -$140
$50 (-2%) -$75 -$38 -$2 +$14
$51 (0%) โ† now +$0 +$43 +$89 +$117
$52 (+2%) +$70 +$118 +$173 +$220
$54 (+5%) +$163 +$218 +$284 +$374
$56 (+9%) โ† target +$263 +$322 +$396 +$572
$57 (+10%) +$289 +$348 +$423 +$572
$59 (+15%) +$379 +$435 +$501 +$572
$62 (+20%) +$439 +$488 +$537 +$572

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 36 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls
  • IV -34% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bullish โ€” stock has upward momentum
  • ADX at 43 โ€” strong trend, stock may run past strike
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

SPSC has bullish momentum (MACD). If a positive catalyst emerges (earnings beat, product launch), the stock could gap past your strike. Consider rolling the call up if SPSC approaches the strike before expiry.
ADX at 43 indicates a moderately strong trend. In trending markets, covered calls cap your upside too early. Use a higher strike to leave more room.
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