TMUS Covered Call Analysis: Proceed With Caution Weak ยท 30/100

T-Mobile US Inc (Communication Services) ยท $195.71 ยท Analysis generated Apr 13, 2026 ยท Data as of market close Apr 13
This strategy is NOT recommended for TMUS right now
Score 30/100. The technical signals do not support selling covered calls on TMUS at this time. RSI at 37 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls. IV -50% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income. MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk). Check back when conditions improve, or consider a different strategy.

Quick Take

TMUS is trading at $195.71 with RSI at 37 (oversold territory). Options IV is at 27% โ€” 50% below its 30-day average of 55%. Neither RSI nor IV strongly favor selling calls right now. Consider waiting for better conditions or using a different strategy.

Technical Signals

RSI (14)
37
IV Today
27.4%
IV vs 30d Avg
-50%
MACD
bearish
ADX
22
MFI
44

The Setup

TMUS Covered Call

LONG STOCK
100 shares @ $195.71
SHORT CALL
$210 Jun '26 ยท $5.0/sh
Net Cost
$19,071
Max Profit
+$1,929
Break-even
$190.71
Projected P&L at Target
+$1,929 (10.1%)
P&L at Expiry Now $196 $137 $196 $254

P&L Scenarios

What happens at different TMUS prices by expiry:

TMUS Price Today May 5 May 27 Jun 19 (exp)
$157 (-20%) -$3,426 -$3,416 -$3,414 -$3,414
$166 (-15%) -$2,477 -$2,448 -$2,437 -$2,436
$176 (-10%) -$1,573 -$1,505 -$1,463 -$1,457
$186 (-5%) -$749 -$626 -$517 -$479
$192 (-2%) -$306 -$148 +$15 +$109
$196 (0%) โ† now -$37 +$142 +$342 +$500
$200 (+2%) +$210 +$407 +$640 +$891
$206 (+5%) +$539 +$755 +$1,025 +$1,479
$210 (+7%) โ† target +$756 +$979 +$1,261 +$1,929
$215 (+10%) +$973 +$1,197 +$1,476 +$1,929
$225 (+15%) +$1,279 +$1,484 +$1,717 +$1,929
$235 (+20%) +$1,480 +$1,651 +$1,821 +$1,929

Why This Strategy, Why Now

  • RSI at 37 โ€” oversold, not ideal for selling calls
  • IV -50% vs avg โ€” premiums below average, less income
  • MACD bearish โ€” stock may keep falling (risk)
  • ADX at 22 โ€” moderate trend
  • No squeeze โ€” no imminent breakout

Key Risks

The main risk is missing upside if TMUS rallies sharply. The premium received ($X per share) provides a buffer, but gains above the strike are forfeited.
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