AAMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAMI - Acadian Asset Management Inc.
$55.42
0.29 (0.53%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
3d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AAMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AAMI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.15
6.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AAMI is currently trading at $55.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.91 to $55.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$48.91 -
$55.09
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.3%
Protect Your Profits
AAMI is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($52.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.3% growth with 17.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$48.91 -
$55.09
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.75
(5.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$52.00
Resistance Level
$56.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.58
Wall Street Target
$52.00
(-6.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Profit Margin
15.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$57.80
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$60.29
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$62.88
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$55.50
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 34.9%)
$241.23
(+335%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 34.9%)
$136.04
(+146%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 34.9%)
$115.64
(+109%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.33 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.37
Bull Case
$113.08
(+104%)
Analyst growth 85.9%, PE expands to 25.7
Base Case
$102.80
(+86%)
Market implied 85.9%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$37.60
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 2:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:03 AM
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Advanced AAMI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AAMI price and gamma walls.