ADV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADV - Advantage Solutions Inc. Class A Common Stock
$0.98
-0.16 (-14.25%)
▼
5d:
+1.0%
30d:
+19.76%
90d:
-23.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Mar 06, 2026
29d
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2 traders called ADV this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.9% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$1.23
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$0.76
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADV is currently trading at $0.98, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $0.81 to $0.98. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.2) is in line with its historical norms (3.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.76, while resistance sits at $1.15. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.67 (+172.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADV is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $0.76, while resistance sits at $1.15. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 14.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $2.67 (+172.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$0.81 -
$0.98
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-14.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 172.8% below Wall St target ($2.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.9% growth with -2.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$0.81 -
$0.98
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$0.76
Resistance Level
$1.15
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.23
Wall Street Target
$2.67
(+172.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-5.6%
Profit Margin
-7.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.9% premium
PE vs Historical
3.2 vs 3.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$1.00
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$1.01
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$1.03
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$0.99
(+2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$8.26
(+745%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.2, Growth: 7.0%)
$1.20
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.7, Growth: 7.0%)
$1.02
(+4%)
Last updated: February 03, 2026 8:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:02 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:02 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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