MGNI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGNI - Magnite, Inc. Common Stock
$12.54
-0.38 (-2.90%)
▼
5d:
-10.46%
30d:
-5.4%
90d:
+11.92%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
MGNI is down 8.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $16 2026-06-18 with 5,808 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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2 traders called MGNI this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MGNI is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MGNI is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.85
Based on 9.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.81
15.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGNI is currently trading at $12.54, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.37 to $13.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.5) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 230.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.21 (+72.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGNI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.21 (+72.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$12.37 -
$13.70
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MGNI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 72.1% below Wall St target ($22.21)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.37 -
$13.70
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.52
Resistance Level
$14.32
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.50
Wall Street Target
$22.21
(+72.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
230.0%
Profit Margin
22.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.5 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.25
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$11.63
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$11.03
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$12.93
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 15.2%)
$41.43
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.5, Growth: 15.2%)
$19.73
(+53%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.9, Growth: 15.2%)
$16.77
(+30%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.05
Bull Case
$17.81
(+38%)
Analyst growth 17.1%, PE expands to 14.5
Base Case
$16.19
(+25%)
Market implied 17.1%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$9.40
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.5 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$15.13
(+17.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 2:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGNI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Adam Lee Soroca
SELL
21529 shares
2026-02-18
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SELL
16656 shares
2025-12-17
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12500 shares
2025-11-21
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Advanced MGNI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MGNI price and gamma walls.
