AEIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEIS - Advanced Energy Industries Inc
$311.27
-45.08 (-12.65%)
▼
5d:
-17.03%
30d:
-0.32%
90d:
-6.47%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AEIS is down 17.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AEIS is down 17.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$587.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$364.95
14.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEIS is currently trading at $311.27, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $305.96 to $359.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 25.8) compared to its historical average (30.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 144.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $304.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $427.00 (+37.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $304.56. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 12.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $427.00 (+37.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$305.96 -
$359.02
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEIS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-12.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading 37.2% below Wall St target ($427.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -17.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$305.96 -
$359.02
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$304.56
Resistance Level
$389.79
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.78
Wall Street Target
$427.00
(+37.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
144.8%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.8 vs 30.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$294.46
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$278.56
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$263.52
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→30)
$310.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.8, Growth: 28.5%)
$661.10
(+112%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 28.5%)
$558.47
(+79%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 28.5%)
$474.70
(+53%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 41.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.50
Bull Case
$375.86
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 43.6
Base Case
$311.27
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 41.5
Bear Case
$238.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 37.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.8 to 30.4
Stabilization Target:
$367.02
(+17.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Karpinski Vonne
SELL
966 shares
2026-04-16
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-27
Paul R Oldham
SELL
4314 shares
2026-03-18
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Advanced AEIS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEIS price and gamma walls.
