AEIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEIS - Advanced Energy Industries Inc
$344.60
5.41 (1.59%)
▲
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
-7.94%
90d:
+10.11%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
AEIS is down 8.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $410 2026-07-17 with 182 OI. Call ratio: 79% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEIS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AEIS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$572.39
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$355.41
3.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEIS is currently trading at $344.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $350.36 to $384.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.3) is in line with its historical norms (31.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 144.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $325.57, while resistance sits at $397.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.89 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $325.57, while resistance sits at $397.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $393.89 (+14.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$350.36 -
$384.93
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($393.89)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$350.36 -
$384.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$325.57
Resistance Level
$397.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.31
Wall Street Target
$393.89
(+14.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
144.8%
Profit Margin
10.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.3 vs 31.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$338.05
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$331.63
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$325.33
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→31)
$344.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.3, Growth: 26.1%)
$691.04
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 26.1%)
$519.64
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 26.1%)
$441.70
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (42x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 41.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.27
Bull Case
$416.10
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 43.8
Base Case
$344.60
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 41.7
Bear Case
$263.62
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 37.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.3 to 31.0
Stabilization Target:
$364.48
(+5.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:35 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Elizabeth Karpinski Vonne
SELL
966 shares
2026-04-16
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
SELL
2026-03-27
Paul R Oldham
SELL
4314 shares
2026-03-18
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Advanced AEIS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEIS price and gamma walls.
