AFYA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AFYA - Afya Limited Class A Common Shares
$15.04
0.08 (0.53%)
▲
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AFYA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AFYA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$18.95
Based on 5.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.77
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AFYA is currently trading at $15.04, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.35 to $15.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.5) is in line with its historical norms (1.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AFYA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AFYA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.37 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AFYA is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AFYA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.37 (+22.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$14.35 -
$15.20
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.8% below Wall St target ($18.37)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$14.35 -
$15.20
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.59
(3.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.12
Resistance Level
$15.25
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.52
Wall Street Target
$18.37
(+22.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
29.8%
Profit Margin
20.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
1.5 vs 1.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.11
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$15.26
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$15.41
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→2)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.19
(+2%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.3%)
$263.56
(+1662%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.5, Growth: 6.3%)
$17.98
(+20%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.3, Growth: 6.3%)
$15.29
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.75 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.54
Bull Case
$33.02
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$30.02
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.8
Bear Case
$10.21
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AFYA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AFYA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AFYA price and gamma walls.
