AFYA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AFYA - Afya Limited Class A Common Shares
$14.88
0.13 (0.85%)
▲
5d:
-1.88%
30d:
+9.38%
90d:
-0.5%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Get Alerted When AFYA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AFYA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AFYA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.91
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.09
7.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 1.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AFYA is currently trading at $14.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.55 to $14.75. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 1.4) is in line with its historical norms (1.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 15.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AFYA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.00, while resistance sits at $15.61.
Market Sentiment: AFYA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.07 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AFYA is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $14.00, while resistance sits at $15.61.
Market Sentiment: AFYA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.07 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$13.55 -
$14.75
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($17.07)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.55 -
$14.75
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.00
Resistance Level
$15.61
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
1.36
Wall Street Target
$17.07
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.2%
Profit Margin
20.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
1.4 vs 1.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.40
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$14.05
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$13.71
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 1→2)
$15.11
(+3%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$375.58
(+2446%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 1.4, Growth: 15.7%)
$22.82
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.2, Growth: 15.7%)
$19.40
(+32%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (1x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.30 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$32.32
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case
$29.38
(+94%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.3
Bear Case
$9.99
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.4 to 1.5
Stabilization Target:
$16.26
(+10.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:38 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AFYA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Education & Training Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Education & Training Services by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
TAL
TAL Education Group |
STRONG BUY
23 analysts |
$16 | 51 HOLD |
|
EDU
New Oriental Education &… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$68 | 55 HOLD |
|
UTI
Universal Technical Inst… |
STRONG BUY
6 analysts |
$37 | 58 HOLD |
|
LINC
Lincoln Educational Serv… |
STRONG BUY
5 analysts |
$43 | 55 HOLD |
|
KLC
KinderCare Learning Comp… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$3 | 49 HOLD |
