AGYS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AGYS - Agilysys, Inc. Common Stock (DE)

SERVICES-COMPUTER INTEGRATED SYSTEMS DESIGN
$89.25
2.50 (2.88%) β–²
5d: -21.4%
30d: -24.9%
90d: -31.16%
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LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Jan 26, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AGYS is down 21.4% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.73
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AGYS is currently trading at $89.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.48 to $122.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 41.0) compared to its historical average (61.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 152.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AGYS is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $81.36, while resistance sits at $113.75.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $142.00 (+59.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $108.48 - $122.10
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 59.1% below Wall St target ($142.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -21.4% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $108.48 - $122.10
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $81.36
Resistance Level $113.75
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 41.05
Wall Street Target $142.00 (+59.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 152.8%
Profit Margin 9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 41.1 vs 61.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $80.33 (-10%)
2-Year Target $72.29 (-19%)
3-Year Target $65.06 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 41β†’62) $98.12 (+10%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 41.0, Growth: 31.4%) $202.64 (+127%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 31.4%) $110.09 (+23%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 31.4%) $93.57 (+5%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 40.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.20
Bull Case $107.77 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 42.5
Base Case $89.25 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 40.5
Bear Case $68.28 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 41.0 to 61.9
Stabilization Target: $134.59 (+50.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +50.8%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 7:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:37 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced AGYS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AGYS price and gamma walls.

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