WDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$127.83
-3.05 (-2.33%)
▼
5d:
+0.69%
30d:
+13.06%
90d:
-21.54%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
10d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 4.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WDAY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.9% annual earnings decline despite 63% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WDAY appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.9% annual earnings decline despite 63% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$291.17
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$180.79
29.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $127.83, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $118.73 to $129.52. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.9) compared to its historical average (16.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $117.03, while resistance sits at $133.36.
Market Sentiment: WDAY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.22 (+40.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $117.03, while resistance sits at $133.36.
Market Sentiment: WDAY has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.22 (+40.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$118.73 -
$129.52
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.2% below Wall St target ($179.22)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$118.73 -
$129.52
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$117.03
Resistance Level
$133.36
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 8, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.92
Wall Street Target
$179.22
(+40.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
62.9%
Profit Margin
7.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 16.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$115.17
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$103.77
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$93.50
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→16)
$127.85
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 17.7%)
$383.73
(+200%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 17.7%)
$208.48
(+63%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 17.7%)
$177.21
(+39%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 12.09 | Forward EPS (Implied): $10.57
Bull Case
$154.35
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 12.7
Base Case
$127.83
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$97.79
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.9 to 16.3
Stabilization Target:
$174.80
(+36.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+36.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 10, 2026 12:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:24 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WDAY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark S Garfield
SELL
1585 shares
2026-04-10
David A Duffield
SELL
107500 shares
2026-04-09
Gerrit S Kazmaier
SELL
9356 shares
2026-04-07
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WDAY price and gamma walls.
