Is WDAY stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, WDAY is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: WDAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of WDAY stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for WDAY to be between $117.49 and $127.68. The current price is $118.75.

What is the analyst price target for WDAY?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for WDAY is $179.22. This implies a potential upside of 50.9% from current levels.

WDAY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WDAY - Workday, Inc. Class A Common Stock

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROCESSING & DATA PREPARATION

$118.75

2.25 (1.93%) ▲

5d: -9.27%

30d: -4.33%

90d: -17.56%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 21, 2026 6d

Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 4.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WDAY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 17.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$287.59

Based on 10.9% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$178.57

33.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: WDAY is currently trading at $118.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $117.49 to $127.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.1) compared to its historical average (16.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 62.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, WDAY is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $112.55, while resistance sits at $133.36.

Market Sentiment: WDAY has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $179.22 (+50.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW

Historical Trading Range $117.49 - $127.68

Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 57.1%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 50.9% below Wall St target ($179.22)
CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.3%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $117.49 - $127.68

Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $112.55

Resistance Level $133.36

Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 11.07

Wall Street Target $179.22 (+50.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.5%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 62.9%

Profit Margin 7.3%

Valuation Discount vs History -11.8% cheaper

PE vs Historical 11.1 vs 16.1 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -11.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $106.88 (-10%)

2-Year Target $96.19 (-19%)

3-Year Target $86.57 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→16) $125.87 (+6%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 17.7%) $385.47 (+225%)

Base: (SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 17.7%) $193.67 (+63%)

Bear: (PE: 9.4, Growth: 17.7%) $164.62 (+39%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 44.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.59

Bull Case $256.30 (+116%)

Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 49.5

Base Case $233.00 (+96%)

Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.0

Bear Case $79.22 (-33%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.2

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.1 to 16.1

Stabilization Target: $172.65 (+45.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +45.4%

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Last updated: May 14, 2026 6:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:32 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Mark S Garfield SELL 1585 shares 2026-04-10

David A Duffield SELL 107500 shares 2026-04-09

Gerrit S Kazmaier SELL 9356 shares 2026-04-07

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