DT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DT - Dynatrace, Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$33.75
1.39 (4.30%) ▲
5d: -9.93%
30d: -11.23%
90d: -20.18%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Protect Your DT Gains
Analysis Updated: Apr 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026 28d
Smart Money Accumulation

DT is down 14.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $42.5 2026-05-15 with 2,908 OI. Call ratio: 82% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$65.33
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$40.56
16.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DT is currently trading at $33.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.60 to $39.23. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (22.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $31.64, while resistance sits at $37.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $49.72 (+47.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $35.60 - $39.23
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 84.3%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 47.3% below Wall St target ($49.72)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.9% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $35.60 - $39.23
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.64
Resistance Level $37.96
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 17.64
Wall Street Target $49.72 (+47.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -89.1%
Profit Margin 9.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical 17.6 vs 22.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $31.22 (-8%)
2-Year Target $28.88 (-14%)
3-Year Target $26.71 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 18→22) $33.77 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 13.9%) $58.08 (+72%)
Base: (SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 13.9%) $49.81 (+48%)
Bear: (PE: 15.0, Growth: 13.9%) $42.34 (+25%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.04 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.98
Bull Case $40.75 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 17.9
Base Case $33.75 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case $25.82 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 22.3
Stabilization Target: $42.67 (+26.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +26.4%
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Last updated: April 13, 2026 7:47 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:47 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bernd Greifeneder SELL 85 shares 2026-03-05
Stephen A Mcmahon BUY 3000 shares 2026-03-03
Michael Guest SELL 2026-01-09

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