AKBA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKBA - Akebia Therapeutics, Inc.
$1.34
-0.05 (-3.60%)
▼
5d:
-5.63%
30d:
+1.52%
90d:
-21.18%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
AKBA is down 4.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $1.5 2026-04-17 with 736 OI. Call ratio: 100% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AKBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AKBA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKBA is currently trading at $1.34, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.22 to $1.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: -14.1) compared to its historical average (12.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKBA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+228.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKBA is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $1.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.6% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.40 (+228.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$1.22 -
$1.42
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AKBA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.6%)
- BULLISH: Trading 228.4% below Wall St target ($4.40)
- BULLISH: Market expects only 0% annual growth - appears undervalued
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.6% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$1.22 -
$1.42
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$1.33
Resistance Level
$1.56
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-14.11
Wall Street Target
$4.40
(+228.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
23.9%
Profit Margin
-2.3%
PE vs Historical
-14.1 vs 12.4
CHEAP
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKBA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
John P Butler
BUY
69270 shares
2026-03-04
Richard C Malabre
SELL
49524 shares
2026-02-02
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Advanced AKBA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AKBA price and gamma walls.