ALB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALB - Albemarle Corporation
$177.22
-2.23 (-1.24%)
▼
5d:
+5.77%
30d:
-0.81%
90d:
+18.14%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
28d
Smart Money Accumulation
ALB is down 13.0% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $200 2026-03-20 with 2,762 OI. Call ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 37.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALB shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 37.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$311.56
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$193.46
8.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALB is currently trading at $177.22, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $162.21 to $180.37. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (82.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 37.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $154.69, while resistance sits at $186.96.
Market Sentiment: ALB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALB is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $154.69, while resistance sits at $186.96.
Market Sentiment: ALB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$162.21 -
$180.37
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($188.74)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$162.21 -
$180.37
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$154.69
Resistance Level
$186.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.25
Wall Street Target
$188.74
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.2%
Profit Margin
-9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-37.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.3 vs 82.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-37.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$159.50
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$143.55
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$129.19
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→82)
$525.12
(+196%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.7%)
$265.59
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 10.7%)
$240.61
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 10.7%)
$204.52
(+15%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 82.3
Stabilization Target:
$720.32
(+306.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+306.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 8:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
J Kent Masters
SELL
11783 shares
2026-03-10
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Advanced ALB Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ALB price and gamma walls.
