ALMU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALMU - Aeluma, Inc. Common Stock
$13.09
0.42 (3.31%)
▲
5d:
+0.85%
30d:
-31.96%
90d:
-23.23%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
ALMU is down 4.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $15 2026-06-18 with 167 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.2/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALMU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Company currently unprofitable (negative forward earnings). Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALMU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Company currently unprofitable (negative forward earnings). Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALMU is currently trading at $13.09, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.16 to $16.95.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALMU is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.88, while resistance sits at $15.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALMU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+94.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALMU is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $11.88, while resistance sits at $15.28. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: ALMU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (28th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.50 (+94.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$13.16 -
$16.95
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
28th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 28th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading 94.8% below Wall St target ($25.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$13.16 -
$16.95
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.23
(17.0%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.88
Resistance Level
$15.28
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
-38.50
Wall Street Target
$25.50
(+94.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
370.8%
Profit Margin
-64.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 5:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ALMU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jonathan Klamkin
SELL
50000 shares
2026-03-04
Steven Denbaars
SELL
12500 shares
2026-02-25
Mark N Tompkins
SELL
34500 shares
2026-02-04
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