AM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AM - Antero Midstream Corporation Common Stock
$22.55
-0.25 (-1.10%)
▼
5d:
-4.45%
30d:
-1.18%
90d:
+26.26%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.47
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.40
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AM is currently trading at $22.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.43 to $23.22. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AM is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.23. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$22.43 -
$23.22
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($21.86)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 3.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$22.43 -
$23.22
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.23
Resistance Level
$23.84
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.19
Wall Street Target
$21.86
(-3.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.6%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
15.2 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.60
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$22.64
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$22.69
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$22.55
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 14.1%)
$49.32
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.2, Growth: 14.1%)
$33.53
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.9, Growth: 14.1%)
$28.50
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.34 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.86
Bull Case
$43.00
(+87%)
Analyst growth 72.6%, PE expands to 29.0
Base Case
$39.09
(+70%)
Market implied 72.6%, PE stable at 26.3
Bear Case
$15.40
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 4:13 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:13 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brooks J Klimley
SELL
5000 shares
2026-03-12
Sheri Pearce
SELL
14000 shares
2026-03-10
Yvette K Schultz
SELL
25000 shares
2026-03-09
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