AMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMN - AMN Healthcare Services
$18.91
-0.67 (-3.42%)
▼
5d:
+5.0%
30d:
-1.2%
90d:
+18.15%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
AMN is up 3.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $20 2026-05-15 with 13 OI. Put ratio: 93% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.7% annual earnings decline despite 321% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -9.7% annual earnings decline despite 321% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.23
Based on -20.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.49
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMN is currently trading at $18.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.33 to $20.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (22.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 321.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.48, while resistance sits at $19.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.21 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $17.48, while resistance sits at $19.62. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.21 (+17.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$18.33 -
$20.84
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($22.21)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.33 -
$20.84
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.66
(8.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.48
Resistance Level
$19.63
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.87
Wall Street Target
$22.21
(+17.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
321.3%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 22.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.08
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$15.42
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$13.92
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→23)
$18.90
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: -44.9%)
$18.30
(+-3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.9, Growth: -44.9%)
$13.79
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: -44.9%)
$11.72
(-38%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.9 to 22.9
Stabilization Target:
$25.67
(+35.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+35.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 8:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:33 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AMN Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMN price and gamma walls.
