AMSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMSC - American Superconductor Corp
$32.25
-0.40 (-1.23%)
▼
5d:
-0.19%
30d:
+1.22%
90d:
+12.06%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
AMSC is down 6.2% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $35 2026-05-15 with 10 OI. Call ratio: 85% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMSC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.8% annual earnings decline despite 4267% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: AMSC appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -4.8% annual earnings decline despite 4267% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.36
Based on -32.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.46
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMSC is currently trading at $32.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.84 to $33.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 30.9) compared to its historical average (35.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4266.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.55, while resistance sits at $35.05.
Market Sentiment: AMSC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.33 (+60.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $28.55, while resistance sits at $35.05.
Market Sentiment: AMSC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $52.33 (+60.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$29.84 -
$33.48
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.3% below Wall St target ($52.33)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$29.84 -
$33.48
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$28.55
Resistance Level
$35.05
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Apr 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.90
Wall Street Target
$52.33
(+60.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4266.7%
Profit Margin
46.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
30.9 vs 35.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$31.08
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$29.59
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$28.17
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→36)
$32.73
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.9, Growth: -69.5%)
$23.80
(+-27%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: -69.5%)
$17.22
(-47%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -69.5%)
$14.63
(-55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.45 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.04
Bull Case
$15.81
(-49%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$14.37
(-53%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$19.54
(-37%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 30.9 to 35.9
Stabilization Target:
$37.94
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 12:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
David R Oliver Jr
SELL
200 shares
2026-02-24
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Advanced AMSC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMSC price and gamma walls.
