AMSC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AMSC - American Superconductor Corp
$29.92
-1.53 (-4.86%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
2d
Smart Money Accumulation
AMSC is down 10.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $32 2026-04-17 with 239 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMSC is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMSC is down 10.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$53.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.45
10.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AMSC is currently trading at $29.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.01 to $32.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.0) compared to its historical average (42.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMSC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.00 (+103.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AMSC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.67. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: AMSC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $61.00 (+103.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$30.01 -
$32.32
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
51th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.7%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AMSC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 51th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 103.9% below Wall St target ($61.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$30.01 -
$32.32
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.47
(14.9%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.67
Resistance Level
$34.50
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.04
Wall Street Target
$61.00
(+103.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-15.5%
Profit Margin
5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-13.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 42.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-13.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.93
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$24.24
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$21.81
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→42)
$34.05
(+14%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 32.8%)
$70.09
(+134%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 32.8%)
$57.81
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 32.8%)
$49.14
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (27x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 30.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.98
Bull Case
$36.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 32.2
Base Case
$29.92
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 30.7
Bear Case
$22.89
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 27.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.0 to 42.2
Stabilization Target:
$46.70
(+56.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+56.1%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 2:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AMSC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Arthur H House
SELL
9703 shares
2025-08-08
Featured in Portfolios
AMSC is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.
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Advanced AMSC Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMSC price and gamma walls.
