What is the fair value of AMTX stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AMTX to be between $1.46 and $2.95. The current price is $3.10.

What is the analyst price target for AMTX?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AMTX is $13.38. This implies a potential upside of 348.8% from current levels.

AMTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMTX - Aemetis, Inc. (DE) Common Stock

INDUSTRIAL ORGANIC CHEMICALS

$3.11

0.13 (4.19%) ▲

5d: -2.36%

30d: +123.38%

90d: +123.38%

BUY

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your AMTX Gains

Analysis Updated: Apr 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 14, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

AMTX is up 7.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $2.5 2026-05-15 with 6 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AMTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 55.7% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$27.46

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$17.05

81.8% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMTX is currently trading at $3.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $1.46 to $2.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 3.8) compared to its historical average (43.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 55.7% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMTX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $2.52, while resistance sits at $3.60. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.2% recently.

Market Sentiment: AMTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.38 (+348.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $1.46 - $2.95

Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 61.9%

Protect Your Profits

AMTX is technically overbought (RSI 71). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.3% above fair value)
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.2%)
BULLISH: Trading 348.8% below Wall St target ($13.38)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $1.46 - $2.95

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.52

Resistance Level $3.60

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Apr 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.80

Wall Street Target $13.38 (+348.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 14.2%

Profit Margin -37.0%

Valuation Discount vs History -55.7% cheaper

PE vs Historical 3.8 vs 43.7 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -55.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $2.68 (-10%)

2-Year Target $2.41 (-19%)

3-Year Target $2.17 (-27%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→44) $24.97 (+738%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 3.8 to 43.7

Stabilization Target: $34.25 (+1049.4%)

PE Expansion Potential: +1049.4%

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Last updated: April 02, 2026 3:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:25 PM

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Advanced AMTX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMTX price and gamma walls.

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