APD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APD - Air Products & Chemicals, Inc.
$270.70
14.68 (5.73%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$346.56
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$215.19
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APD is currently trading at $270.70, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $249.83 to $265.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.5) is in line with its historical norms (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $272.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $293.71 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $272.77. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $293.71 (+14.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$249.83 -
$265.67
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
53.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding APD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.7%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($293.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$249.83 -
$265.67
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$253.94
Resistance Level
$272.77
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.53
Wall Street Target
$293.71
(+14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.8%
Profit Margin
-3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.5 vs 19.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$252.95
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$249.91
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$246.91
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
$255.80
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.0%)
$377.32
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.5, Growth: 7.0%)
$313.58
(+23%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.8, Growth: 7.0%)
$266.55
(+4%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.5 to 19.2
Stabilization Target:
$265.23
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 2:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-29
Lisa C. McClain
SELL
2025-09-25
Julie Johnson
SELL
2025-08-14
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Advanced APD Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APD price and gamma walls.
