ECL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ECL - Ecolab, Inc.
$283.36
4.99 (1.79%)
▲
5d:
+0.77%
30d:
+10.58%
90d:
+5.13%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
24d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.9/10
Get Alerted When ECL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ECL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ECL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$372.05
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$231.01
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ECL is currently trading at $283.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $254.38 to $273.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.6) is in line with its historical norms (29.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $266.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ECL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $317.38 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ECL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $266.91. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ECL has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $317.38 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$254.38 -
$273.12
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($317.38)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$254.38 -
$273.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$247.84
Resistance Level
$266.91
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.61
Wall Street Target
$317.38
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.8%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
29.6 vs 29.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$283.93
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$284.49
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$285.06
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$283.00
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.6, Growth: 14.6%)
$426.49
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 14.6%)
$313.66
(+11%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 14.6%)
$266.61
(-6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (30x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $7.38
Bull Case
$397.00
(+40%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 41.5
Base Case
$360.91
(+27%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 37.7
Bear Case
$189.29
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:07 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:07 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ECL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Tracy B Mckibben
SELL
1265 shares
2026-02-25
Top Rated Specialty Chemicals Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Specialty Chemicals by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
LIN
Linde plc Ordinary Shares |
BUY
28 analysts |
$546 | 62 BUY |
|
SHW
Sherwin-Williams Co |
BUY
28 analysts |
$374 | 60 BUY |
|
APD
Air Products and Chemica… |
BUY
24 analysts |
$328 | 65 BUY |
|
IFF
International Flavors & … |
STRONG BUY
19 analysts |
$91 | 63 BUY |
|
PPG
PPG Industries Inc |
HOLD
23 analysts |
$124 | 67 BUY |
Advanced ECL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ECL price and gamma walls.
