APLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APLE - Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
$11.64
-0.06 (-0.51%)
▼
5d:
-5.52%
30d:
-2.84%
90d:
+1.66%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 23, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APLE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APLE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$9.76
Based on -4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.06
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APLE is currently trading at $11.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.86 to $12.40. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.7) is in line with its historical norms (16.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.14 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $11.45. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.14 (+12.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$11.86 -
$12.40
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.14)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.5% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.86 -
$12.40
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.45
Resistance Level
$12.70
Current Trend
Support Break
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.73
Wall Street Target
$13.14
(+12.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-8.3%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.7 vs 16.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.48
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$11.32
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$11.16
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→16)
$11.63
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -12.2%)
$12.03
(+3%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.7, Growth: -12.2%)
$8.49
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.4, Growth: -12.2%)
$7.21
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$12.63
(+9%)
Analyst growth 0.0%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$11.48
(-1%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$7.81
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.7 to 16.4
Stabilization Target:
$12.14
(+4.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.3%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 10:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is APLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Glade M Knight
BUY
5000 shares
2025-08-19
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