APLE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
APLE - Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc.
$11.51
0.02 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
-3.2%
30d:
-6.12%
90d:
-4.4%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APLE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: APLE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.05
Based on 3.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.72
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: APLE is currently trading at $11.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.74 to $12.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.2) is in line with its historical norms (16.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 0.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APLE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.12 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, APLE is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $11.44. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: APLE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.12 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$11.74 -
$12.30
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
54.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.12)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.74 -
$12.30
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.44
Resistance Level
$12.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.21
Wall Street Target
$13.13
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
0.8%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 16.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.39
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$11.28
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$11.17
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→17)
$11.50
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 2.9%)
$17.29
(+50%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 2.9%)
$12.54
(+9%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 2.9%)
$10.66
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 15.66 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.74
Bull Case
$11.89
(0%)
Analyst growth -6.8%, PE expands to 17.2
Base Case
$10.81
(-9%)
Market implied -6.8%, PE stable at 15.7
Bear Case
$7.88
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 16.7
Stabilization Target:
$11.86
(+3.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:45 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:45 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is APLE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
3
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Glade M Knight
BUY
5000 shares
2025-12-11
Redd Hugh
BUY
1000 shares
2025-11-13
Howard E Woolley
BUY
2000 shares
2025-11-11
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