RHP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RHP - Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc
$108.50
3.71 (3.54%)
▲
5d:
-0.18%
30d:
+4.79%
90d:
+6.29%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RHP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: RHP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$148.41
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$92.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RHP is currently trading at $108.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $98.98 to $107.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.5) is in line with its historical norms (21.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RHP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $103.92, while resistance sits at $112.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.53 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RHP is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $103.92, while resistance sits at $112.50. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $119.53 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$98.98 -
$107.74
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($119.53)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$98.98 -
$107.74
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.93
Resistance Level
$112.50
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.53
Wall Street Target
$119.53
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.5%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.7% premium
PE vs Historical
22.5 vs 21.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$110.34
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$112.22
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$114.13
(+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→21)
PE COMPRESSION
$108.39
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.5, Growth: 11.2%)
$149.20
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$146.32
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 11.2%)
$124.37
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.58 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.80
Bull Case
$146.06
(+35%)
Analyst growth 26.7%, PE expands to 30.3
Base Case
$132.78
(+22%)
Market implied 26.7%, PE stable at 27.6
Bear Case
$71.26
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RHP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-03-03
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