APPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APPS - Digital Turbine, Inc.

PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS
$2.89
-0.02 (-0.69%) ▼
5d: -7.96%
30d: -28.82%
90d: -44.64%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 02, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

APPS is down 6.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $4 2026-06-18 with 558 OI. Call ratio: 88% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: APPS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.35
54.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APPS is currently trading at $2.89, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.27 to $4.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.7) compared to its historical average (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APPS is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $2.87. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.75 (+200.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $3.27 - $4.17
Company Quality Score 51/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 200.7% below Wall St target ($8.75)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.0% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.27 - $4.17
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.87
Resistance Level $3.70
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.66
Wall Street Target $8.75 (+200.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -42.9%
Profit Margin -9.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -17.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.7 vs 8.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -17.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.62 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.36 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.12 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 5→8) $3.83 (+32%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 58.2%) $47.25 (+1524%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.7, Growth: 58.2%) $9.82 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 4.0, Growth: 58.2%) $8.35 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.7 to 8.4
Stabilization Target: $5.25 (+80.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +80.4%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:12 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:12 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced APPS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APPS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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