APPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

APPS - Digital Turbine, Inc.

PATENT OWNERS & LESSORS
$5.22
-0.19 (-3.51%) ▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026 3d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: APPS trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.06
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.11
35.6% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: APPS is currently trading at $5.22, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.98 to $5.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.4) compared to its historical average (10.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, APPS is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.78, while resistance sits at $5.73. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: APPS has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.75 (+61.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $4.98 - $5.36
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 78.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 61.7% below Wall St target ($8.75)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $4.98 - $5.36
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.78
Resistance Level $5.73
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.39
Wall Street Target $8.75 (+61.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 18.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -42.9%
Profit Margin -14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.4 vs 10.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $5.03 (-7%)
2-Year Target $4.68 (-14%)
3-Year Target $4.35 (-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→10) $5.40 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 98.5%) $48.54 (+797%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 98.5%) $18.26 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.1, Growth: 98.5%) $15.52 (+187%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.4 to 10.4
Stabilization Target: $6.71 (+24.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +24.0%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:06 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced APPS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's APPS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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