SNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNOW - Snowflake Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$150.76
-1.61 (-1.06%) ▼
5d: -1.93%
30d: +4.35%
90d: -12.81%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026 12d
Smart Money Accumulation

None View Scanner →

Strength: 8.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SNOW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -10.2% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.07
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.10
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNOW is currently trading at $150.76, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $136.97 to $152.09. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 93.8) compared to its historical average (129.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNOW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $136.20, while resistance sits at $157.00.

Market Sentiment: SNOW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $232.74 (+52.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $136.97 - $152.09
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.2%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 52.7% below Wall St target ($232.74)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $136.97 - $152.09
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $136.20
Resistance Level $157.00
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 93.81
Wall Street Target $232.74 (+52.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 30.1%
Profit Margin -28.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -10.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 93.8 vs 129.6 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -10.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $137.13 (-10%)
2-Year Target $123.42 (-19%)
3-Year Target $111.08 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 94→130) $153.45 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 93.8, Growth: 34.9%) $374.24 (+146%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 34.9%) $87.92 (-42%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 34.9%) $74.74 (-51%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 93.8 to 129.6
Stabilization Target: $210.50 (+38.1%)
PE Expansion Potential: +38.1%
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 4:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:03 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michael L Speiser SELL 50338 shares 2026-04-06
Michael L Speiser SELL 403 shares 2026-04-06
Vivek Raghunathan SELL 3876 shares 2026-04-01

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