What is the fair value of SNOW stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for SNOW to be between $217.01 and $259.89. The current price is $260.15.

What is the analyst price target for SNOW?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for SNOW is $292.53. This implies a potential upside of 12.4% from current levels.

SNOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SNOW - Snowflake Inc.

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$260.15

-1.04 (-0.40%) ▼

5d: +14.57%

30d: -0.38%

90d: +69.9%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Aug 26, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 9.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: SNOW trades at premium valuation expecting 6.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 25.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$79.07

Based on 14.5% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$49.10

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SNOW is currently trading at $260.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $217.01 to $259.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 160.2) compared to its historical average (131.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SNOW is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $264.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $292.53 (+12.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $217.01 - $259.89

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 47.6%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($292.53)
NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 6.9% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $217.01 - $259.89

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $217.48

Resistance Level $264.96

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 160.17

Wall Street Target $292.53 (+12.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 33.5%

Profit Margin -23.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +6.9% premium

PE vs Historical 160.2 vs 131.0 STRETCHED

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +6.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $278.10 (+7%)

2-Year Target $297.29 (+14%)

3-Year Target $317.80 (+22%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 160→131) PE COMPRESSION $259.92 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 160.2, Growth: 34.9%) $638.97 (+146%)

Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 34.9%) $86.89 (-67%)

Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 34.9%) $73.85 (-72%)

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Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:23 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

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Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Michael L Speiser SELL 50338 shares 2026-04-06

Michael L Speiser SELL 403 shares 2026-04-06

Vivek Raghunathan SELL 3876 shares 2026-04-01

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