ASPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASPS - Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.

SERVICES-MISCELLANEOUS BUSINESS SERVICES
$6.46
-0.10 (-1.52%) ▼
5d: -4.86%
30d: -6.78%
90d: +16.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASPS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.16
20.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASPS is currently trading at $6.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.51 to $6.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.3) is in line with its historical norms (4.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $6.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $6.51 - $6.93
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($8.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $6.51 - $6.93
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.46
Resistance Level $7.30
Current Trend Sideways
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 4.31
Wall Street Target $8.00 (+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -10.2%
Profit Margin 3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 4.3 vs 4.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.38 (-1%)
2-Year Target $6.29 (-3%)
3-Year Target $6.21 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→5) $6.49 (+1%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 72.4%) $111.58 (+1627%)
Base: (SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 72.4%) $21.80 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 3.7, Growth: 72.4%) $18.53 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case $13.04 (+102%)
Analyst growth 80.7%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case $11.86 (+84%)
Market implied 80.7%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case $4.46 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 4.5
Stabilization Target: $6.75 (+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.5%
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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