ASPS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASPS - Altisource Portfolio Solutions S.A.
$6.46
-0.10 (-1.52%)
▼
5d:
-4.86%
30d:
-6.78%
90d:
+16.61%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASPS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ASPS shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.14
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.16
20.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 4.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASPS is currently trading at $6.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.51 to $6.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 4.3) is in line with its historical norms (4.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $6.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASPS is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $6.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.00 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.51 -
$6.93
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($8.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.51 -
$6.93
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.46
Resistance Level
$7.30
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.31
Wall Street Target
$8.00
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.2%
Profit Margin
3.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 4.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.38
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$6.29
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$6.21
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→5)
$6.49
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 72.4%)
$111.58
(+1627%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: 72.4%)
$21.80
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.7, Growth: 72.4%)
$18.53
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 7.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.83
Bull Case
$13.04
(+102%)
Analyst growth 80.7%, PE expands to 8.7
Base Case
$11.86
(+84%)
Market implied 80.7%, PE stable at 7.9
Bear Case
$4.46
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 4.5
Stabilization Target:
$6.75
(+4.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 2:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASPS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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