ASX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASX - ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
$19.39
-0.02 (-0.10%)
▼
5d:
-3.39%
30d:
+15.01%
90d:
+21.11%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
7d
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1 traders called ASX this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ASX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.68
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.78
14.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASX is currently trading at $19.39, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.96 to $19.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.3) is in line with its historical norms (22.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.65, while resistance sits at $20.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.65, while resistance sits at $20.49.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$16.96 -
$19.67
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.61)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.96 -
$19.67
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.65
Resistance Level
$20.49
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.26
Wall Street Target
$20.61
(+6.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
10.2%
Profit Margin
5.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.0% premium
PE vs Historical
23.3 vs 22.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.58
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$19.78
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$19.98
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.41
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.3, Growth: 40.6%)
$53.84
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.6%)
$51.61
(+166%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 40.6%)
$43.87
(+126%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (40x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.49
Bull Case
$36.32
(+87%)
Analyst growth 70.1%, PE expands to 43.6
Base Case
$33.02
(+70%)
Market implied 70.1%, PE stable at 39.6
Bear Case
$13.20
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 04, 2026 7:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:23 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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