ADI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADI - Analog Devices, Inc.
$377.16
-11.82 (-3.04%)
▼
5d:
-9.76%
30d:
-10.88%
90d:
+17.65%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 19, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 9.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ADI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$644.31
Based on 11.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$400.06
5.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADI is currently trading at $377.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $395.63 to $427.55. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 25.5) is in line with its historical norms (27.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 110.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $372.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $453.67 (+20.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $372.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $453.67 (+20.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$395.63 -
$427.55
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ADI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.3% below Wall St target ($453.67)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.8% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$395.63 -
$427.55
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$372.64
Resistance Level
$445.91
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
25.52
Wall Street Target
$453.67
(+20.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
110.5%
Profit Margin
26.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
25.5 vs 27.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$367.35
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$357.80
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$348.50
(-8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 26→28)
$376.96
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 25.5, Growth: 19.8%)
$648.12
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.8%)
$553.22
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 19.8%)
$470.24
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (26x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 26.53 | Forward EPS (Implied): $14.22
Bull Case
$455.42
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$377.16
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 26.5
Bear Case
$288.53
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 23.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 25.5 to 27.6
Stabilization Target:
$407.96
(+8.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+8.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 5:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:36 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
12
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Vincent Roche
SELL
10000 shares
2026-04-01
Richard McCormick
SELL
2026-03-19
Michael Sondel
SELL
4199 shares
2026-02-25
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