ATGE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATGE - Adtalem Global Education Inc. Common Shares
$103.55
-4.23 (-3.92%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ATGE is down 14.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: ATGE is down 14.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$178.00
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.53
6.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATGE is currently trading at $103.55, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $105.47 to $118.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.5) compared to its historical average (13.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATGE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.50 (+56.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATGE is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $102.16. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $161.50 (+56.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$105.47 -
$118.10
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding ATGE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 56.0% below Wall St target ($161.50)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -14.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$105.47 -
$118.10
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$102.16
Resistance Level
$124.60
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.51
Wall Street Target
$161.50
(+56.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
13.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 13.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$99.20
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$95.03
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$91.04
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$103.60
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$292.00
(+182%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 13.3%)
$150.74
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 13.3%)
$128.13
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.54
Bull Case
$174.11
(+68%)
Analyst growth 36.5%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$158.28
(+53%)
Market implied 36.5%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$78.83
(-24%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.5 to 13.1
Stabilization Target:
$117.83
(+13.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.8%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 1:02 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:02 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATGE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa W Wardell
SELL
25477 shares
2025-08-28
Lisa W Wardell
SELL
18392 shares
2025-08-27
Manjunath Gangadharan
SELL
944 shares
2025-08-27
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Advanced ATGE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATGE price and gamma walls.
