AVPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVPT - AvePoint, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$9.93
0.14 (1.43%)
▲
5d:
-12.89%
30d:
-0.35%
90d:
-5.97%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
AVPT is down 12.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $11 2026-07-17 with 167 OI. Call ratio: 69% View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AVPT is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AVPT is down 12.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.32
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.48
31.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $9.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.52 to $10.42. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (26.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 302.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.52, while resistance sits at $11.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.20 (+63.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.52, while resistance sits at $11.46.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.20 (+63.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$9.52 -
$10.42
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AVPT? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 63.2% below Wall St target ($16.20)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$9.52 -
$10.42
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.52
Resistance Level
$11.47
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.96
Wall Street Target
$16.20
(+63.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
302.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 26.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.02
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$8.19
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$7.43
(-25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→27)
$9.94
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 23.2%)
$20.53
(+107%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 23.2%)
$18.57
(+87%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 23.2%)
$15.79
(+59%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (50x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 49.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$21.79
(+119%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 54.5
Base Case
$19.81
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 49.5
Bear Case
$6.74
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 42.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 26.7
Stabilization Target:
$13.28
(+33.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+33.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 12:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Xunkai Gong
SELL
27998 shares
2026-01-13
Xunkai Gong
SELL
32002 shares
2026-01-12
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Advanced AVPT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AVPT price and gamma walls.
