AVPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVPT - AvePoint, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$11.46
0.02 (0.17%)
▲
5d:
+10.72%
30d:
+1.51%
90d:
+17.9%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Get Alerted When AVPT Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVPT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.3% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.32
Based on 13.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.48
20.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVPT is currently trading at $11.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.35 to $11.16. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.0) is in line with its historical norms (25.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 302.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+40.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVPT is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVPT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $16.12 (+40.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.35 -
$11.16
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.7% below Wall St target ($16.12)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.35 -
$11.16
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.71
Resistance Level
$11.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.04
Wall Street Target
$16.13
(+40.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
26.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
302.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 25.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.08
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$10.72
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$10.36
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→26)
$11.47
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: 23.2%)
$21.43
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 23.2%)
$20.26
(+77%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 23.2%)
$17.22
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (57x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 57.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$25.17
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 62.9
Base Case
$22.88
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 57.2
Bear Case
$7.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 48.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 25.5
Stabilization Target:
$12.69
(+10.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 11:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:35 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is AVPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Xunkai Gong
SELL
27998 shares
2026-01-13
Xunkai Gong
SELL
32002 shares
2026-01-12
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CYBR
CyberArk Software Ltd |
STRONG BUY
38 analysts |
$475 | 52 HOLD |
|
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation |
STRONG BUY
61 analysts |
$561 | 51 HOLD |
|
CFLT
Confluent Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$31 | 63 BUY |
|
GTLB
Gitlab Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$34 | 61 BUY |
|
PANW
Palo Alto Networks Inc |
STRONG BUY
52 analysts |
$310 | 65 BUY |
Advanced AVPT Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AVPT price and gamma walls.
