BAC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BAC - Bank of America Corporation

NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS
$53.20
0.12 (0.23%) ▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 15, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BAC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.18
Based on 9.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.86
8.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BAC is currently trading at $53.20, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $52.49 to $56.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (12.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BAC is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.48. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BAC has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $62.12 (+17.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $52.49 - $56.11
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($62.12)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $52.49 - $56.11
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $51.31
Resistance Level $53.48
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.68
Wall Street Target $62.13 (+17.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 13.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 20.9%
Profit Margin 28.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 10.7 vs 12.0 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -3.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $51.06 (-4%)
2-Year Target $49.12 (-8%)
3-Year Target $47.26 (-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 11→12) $53.10 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.8%) $167.64 (+216%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 14.8%) $80.28 (+51%)
Bear: (PE: 9.1, Growth: 14.8%) $68.24 (+29%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.81
Bull Case $74.86 (+41%)
Analyst growth 30.5%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case $68.06 (+28%)
Market implied 30.5%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case $35.48 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 12.0
Stabilization Target: $59.64 (+12.4%)
PE Expansion Potential: +12.4%
Last updated: January 30, 2026 4:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:11 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle SELL 2025-09-23
Ro Khanna BUY 2025-09-17
Ro Khanna SELL 2025-09-10

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