BAX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BAX - Baxter International Inc.
$20.07
0.34 (1.72%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BAX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BAX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.42
Based on -0.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.06
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BAX is currently trading at $20.07, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.24 to $20.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.13 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BAX is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $20.45. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.13 (+17.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$19.24 -
$20.30
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.13)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.24 -
$20.30
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.23
Resistance Level
$20.45
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.70
Wall Street Target
$23.13
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
237.9%
Profit Margin
-3.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 8.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.81
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$19.89
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$19.97
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -4.1%)
$44.67
(+126%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: -4.1%)
$17.42
(-12%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: -4.1%)
$14.81
(-25%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 5:37 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:37 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BAX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
4
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-09-29
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-09-25
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
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