BBD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBD - Banco Bradesco S.A. American Depositary Shares (Each representing one Preferred Shares)
$3.47
-0.10 (-2.80%)
▼
5d:
-7.47%
30d:
-16.39%
90d:
-12.81%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BBD shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$6.84
Based on 11.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.25
18.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBD is currently trading at $3.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.68 to $4.07. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.3) compared to its historical average (7.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.32 (+24.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBD is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.43. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $4.32 (+24.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$3.68 -
$4.07
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.5% below Wall St target ($4.32)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.68 -
$4.07
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.43
Resistance Level
$3.95
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.26
Wall Street Target
$4.32
(+24.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.5%
Profit Margin
25.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.3 vs 7.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.30
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$3.14
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$2.99
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$3.49
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 18.4%)
$20.33
(+486%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.3, Growth: 18.4%)
$5.77
(+66%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.3, Growth: 18.4%)
$4.90
(+41%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.01 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$4.88
(+41%)
Analyst growth 28.9%, PE expands to 8.8
Base Case
$4.44
(+28%)
Market implied 28.9%, PE stable at 8.0
Bear Case
$2.34
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.3 to 7.3
Stabilization Target:
$4.05
(+16.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:26 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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