BBVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BBVA - Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A.
$25.42
-0.02 (-0.08%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBVA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BBVA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.95
Based on 2.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.35
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BBVA is currently trading at $25.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.32 to $25.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.5) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BBVA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: BBVA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$23.32 -
$25.04
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($24.28)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with 3.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.32 -
$25.04
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$23.99
Resistance Level
$26.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.52
Wall Street Target
$24.28
(-4.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Profit Margin
32.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.2% premium
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 12.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.75
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$26.05
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$26.37
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.48
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 1.2%)
$46.96
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.5, Growth: 1.2%)
$26.36
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 1.2%)
$22.41
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 12.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$26.89
(+6%)
Analyst growth -2.8%, PE expands to 13.2
Base Case
$24.44
(-4%)
Market implied -2.8%, PE stable at 12.0
Bear Case
$17.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BBVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BBVA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BBVA price and gamma walls.